Fisheries governance in the face of climate change: Assessment of policy reform implications for Mexican fisheries.

Climate change is driving shifts in the abundance and distribution of marine fish and invertebrates and is having direct and indirect impacts on seafood catches and fishing communities, exacerbating the already negative effects of unsustainably high fishing pressure that exist for some stocks. Although the majority of fisheries in the world are managed at the national or local scale, most existing approaches to assessing climate impacts on fisheries have been developed on a global scale. It is often difficult to translate from the global to regional and local settings because of limited relevant data. To address the need for fisheries management entities to identify those fisheries with the greatest potential for climate change impacts, we present an approach for estimating expected climate change-driven impacts on the productivity and spatial range of fisheries at the regional scale in a data-poor context. We use a set of representative Mexican fisheries as test cases. To assess the implications of climate impacts, we compare biomass, harvest, and profit outcomes from a bioeconomic model under contrasting management policies and with and without climate change. Overall results show that climate change is estimated to negatively affect nearly every fishery in our study. However, the results indicate that overfishing is a greater threat than climate change for these fisheries, hence fixing current management challenges has a greater upside than the projected future costs of moderate levels of climate change. Additionally, this study provides meaningful first approximations of potential effects of both climate change and management reform in Mexican fisheries. Using the climate impact estimations and model outputs, we identify high priority stocks, fleets, and regions for policy reform in Mexico in the face of climate change. This approach can be applied in other data-poor circumstances to focus future research and policy reform efforts on stocks now subject to additional stress due to climate change. Considering their growing relevance as a critical source of protein and micronutrients to nourish our growing population, it is urgent for regions to develop sound fishery management policies in the short-term as they are the most important intervention to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change on marine fisheries.

Review of California sea lion (Zalophus californianus) abundance, and population dynamics in the Gulf of California

Introduction: The life history of the California sea lion (Zalophus californianus) in the Gulf of California is marked by a series of important events influencing and modifying its population growth, distribution, and evolution. Despite the fact that this population has been studied since the 1950s, research has been rather punctual and fragmentary. Before 2010, there are only a few surveys conducted simultaneously in all rookeries, thus there is no reliable information on key aspects of life cycle, population trend and potential threats. In the present work we conducted a review of California sea lion life history and environmental changes in the Gulf of California thorough a collation survey data encompassing the last 37 years. Objective: Our aim was focused on identifying short- and long-term processes potentially acting on the population, and hopefully improve knowledge about the population trend and status using different points of view. Methods: We collected and analyzed population survey data from different sources since the 1970s to 2018: published papers, master's and doctoral thesis, in addition to technical reports. The survey data are organized in sections corresponding with crucial population life history events. Results: Considering a long-time period the population size appears to be stable with zero growth. Cyclic interannual fluctuation seem to denote a certain dependence with climatic factors, not directly with El Niño, but with sea surface temperature anomalies that determine prey availability. However, many doubts persist about the incidence of different local environmental factors on gender and age, particularly related with juvenile recruitment and female survival rate. Conclusions: In conclusion, more information is required based on seasonal surveys, life cycle, regional environmental variation. Statistical errors need to be assessed and monitoring methods should be standardized and must be considered to ascertain short- and long-term population and colony spatial-temporal patterns.

Introducción: El lobo marino de California (Zalophus californianus) en el Golfo de California se caracteriza por una serie de eventos que influyen en el crecimiento, evolución y distribución de la población. Los estudios poblacionales iniciaron en 1950, aunque las investigaciones fueron puntuales y fragmentadas. Antes de 2010 existen pocos censos simultáneos de las 13 colonias de lobos marinos, con los cuales se obtuvo información sobre el ciclo de vida, la tendencia poblacional y las potenciales amenazas de estos organismos. Objetivo: En esta investigación se presenta un resumen de 37 años de historia de investigaciones del lobo marino de California y del ecosistema del Golfo de California. Métodos: Se realizó un análisis de los procesos de corto y largo plazo que actúan sobre la población, revelando aspectos poco conocidos. Se recolectaron y analizaron datos para el periodo de 1970 al 2018: artículos, tesis de posgrado y reportes técnicos, que fueron organizados en secciones relacionadas con eventos ambientales cruciales para la población. Resultados: A largo plazo, la población parece estar estable y presenta fluctuaciones interanuales cíclicas que evidencian dependencia con factores climáticos como anomalías de temperatura superficial del mar regional que determinan un cambio en la disponibilidad de presas para los lobos marinos. No es claro el posible efecto que factores ambientales locales puedan ocasionar en las diferentes clases de edad y por sexos, en particular sobre el reclutamiento de juveniles y la tasa de supervivencia de las hembras. Conclusiones: El presente trabajo identifica las prioridades de información para esta población y ofrece recomendaciones como el monitoreo estandarizado y la consideración de variaciones espacio-temporales locales.

Influencia de la proporción sexual y del ambiente en la tasa de crecimiento poblacional de Callinectes bellicosus (Decapoda: Portunidae) del Golfo de California / Sex ratio and environmental influence on population growth rate of Callinectes bellicosus (Decapoda: Portunidae) in the Gulf of California

ResumenPara la jaiba café (Callinectes bellicosus) capturada en Sonora, México dentro del Golfo de California desde 1986, durante 20 años se ha observado una tendencia decreciente en la biomasa. Se estimaron las tasas de crecimiento poblacional (r) y proporción de sexos de C. bellicosus además de tres parámetros que describen su hábitat: temperatura del mar, extensión de humedales y tamaño del hábitat en cuatro zonas a lo largo de la costa de Sonora. La proporción de sexos se estimó de 25 556 jaibas muestreadas de las capturas comerciales en los años 19982002 y 2012; la temperatura media en el período de desove (mayo-agosto) se generó a partir de sensores remotos en los mismos años; la cobertura de humedales se obtuvo de reportes publicados; y el tamaño del hábitat se estimó como la superficie de pesca. Para cada zona se estimó r mediante un método desarrollado para situaciones de escasa información utilizando las capturas comerciales (t) de 1986 a 2013. Con los datos de las cuatro zonas se desarrollaron modelos de regresión lineal simple y múltiple para evaluar las sensibilidades teóricas de r a variaciones en la proporción de sexos y en los parámetros ambientales. Los machos dominaron (68.8 %) sobre las hembras en el período de estudio en las cuatro zonas; un análisis de conglomerados identificó dos grupos de acuerdo a la proporción de sexos: un grupo norteño con las zonas 1 y 2, y otro sureño con las zonas 3 y 4. Los valores de r fueron diferentes en las cuatro zonas (P<0.001) igual que la proporción de sexos (P=0.037); no se encontraron diferencias en la temperatura entre los años considerados en el estudio (P>0.995). Tanto los datos estimados como los análisis de sensibilidad sugieren que r dependen directa y positivamente de la proporción de hembras de jaiba y el tamaño de los humedales. Por lo anterior planteamos la hipótesis de que la pesca excesiva de hembras es la causa del descenso de la biomasa de jaiba café en Sonora, y concluimos que es conveniente implementar refugios pesqueros dentro de humedales costeros para proteger las hembras en el período de desove.

Abstract:The brown swimming crab (Callinectesbellicosus) is an economically important species in the Gulf of California, and its fishing activity, held in Sonora from 1986, has been affected by a 20-year declining trend in its biomass. With the aim to understand the possible reasons of this species population changes along time, we estimated population growth rate (r) and sex ratio of C. bellicosus, and combined them with three parameters describing its habitat: sea temperature, wetland extension and habitat size in four areas along the coast of Sonora. For this, monthly mean sex ratio was estimated from crabs samples obtained from commercial catches during 1998-2002 and 2012; mean sea surface temperature for the spawning period (May-August) were derived from remote sensors for the same years; while wetland coverages were obtained from published reports, and habitat size was estimated as the fishing surface. For each area, r was estimated using a method developed for limited data situations using commercial landings (t) from 1986-2013. With data from the four areas, simple and multiple linear regression models were developed to ascertain theoretical sensitivities of r to variations in sex ratio and environmental parameters. A total of 24 556 crabs were sampled; males dominated (68.8 %) over females during the study period and in all areas; a cluster analysis identified two groups according to sex ratio: a Northern group with zones 1 and 2, and a Southern group with zones 3 and 4. r values were different in all zones (P<0.001) as was sex ratio (P=0.037); no differences in temperature were identified within the study years (P>0.995). Both the estimated data and sensitivity analyses suggest the existence of a direct and positive dependence of r on the proportion of female crabs and wetland size. We hypothesize that excess fishing of females caused the declining biomass trend of the brown swimming crab in Sonora, and concluded on the convenience of implementing harvest refugia inside coastal wetlands to protect females during the spawning season. Rev. Biol. Trop. 64 (3): 1259-1271. Epub 2016 September 01.

[Sex ratio and environmental influence on population growth rate of Callinectes bellicosus (Decapoda: Portunidae) in the Gulf of California]. / Influencia de la proporción sexual y del ambiente en la tasa de crecimiento poblacional de Callinectes bellicosus (Decapoda: Portunidae) del Golfo de California.

The brown swimming crab (Callinectes bellicosus) is an economically important species in the Gulf of California, and its fishing activity, held in Sonora from 1986, has been affected by a 20-year declining trend in its biomass. With the aim to understand the possible reasons of this species population changes along time, we estimated population growth rate (r) and sex ratio of C. bellicosus, and combined them with three parameters describing its habitat: sea temperature, wetland extension and habitat size in four areas along the coast of Sonora. For this, monthly mean sex ratio was estimated from crabs samples obtained from commercial catches during 1998-2002 and 2012; mean sea surface temperature for the spawning period (May-August) were derived from remote sensors for the same years; while wetland coverages were obtained from published reports, and habitat size was estimated as the fishing surface. For each area, r was estimated using a method developed for limited data situations using commercial landings (t) from 1986-2013. With data from the four areas, simple and multiple linear regression models were developed to ascertain theoretical sensitivities of r to variations in sex ratio and environmental parameters. A total of 24 556 crabs were sampled; males dominated (68.8 %) over females during the study period and in all areas; a cluster analysis identified two groups according to sex ratio: a Northern group with zones 1 and 2, and a Southern group with zones 3 and 4. r values were different in all zones (P<0.001) as was sex ratio (P=0.037); no differences in temperature were identified within the study years (P>0.995). Both the estimated data and sensitivity analyses suggest the existence of a direct and positive dependence of r on the proportion of female crabs and wetland size. We hypothesize that excess fishing of females caused the declining biomass trend of the brown swimming crab in Sonora, and concluded on the convenience of implementing harvest refugia inside coastal wetlands to protect females during the spawning season.

Análisis socioeconómico de las pesquerías de camarón y calamar gigante en el noroeste de México / Socio-economic analysis of shrimp and jumbo squid fisheries in northeastern Mexico

Se analiza, desde la perspectiva socioeconómica, el desempeño de la pesquería de camarón y calamar gigante en la región noroeste de México. Se ubica a estas dos pesquerías en el contexto de sus orígenes y orientación exportadora, argumentando que estos dos elementos han marcado el ritmo de explotación de esos recursos. Se describe el comportamiento de las capturas y los ingresos generados por las dos pesquerías. Se concluye que, a pesar que estos dos recursos son fuente de empleo e ingreso, no resuelven los problemas estructurales de la pesca en la región, ya que existen factores biológicos y de mercado que deben ser considerados para que estas dos pesquerías sean ambientalmente sustentables y económicamente eficientes.